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Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Just how good is a 39 point win?

As you know, the Celtics beat the snot out of the the Lakers tonight by 39 points (131-92). The first (obvious) question is whether it is an NBA Finals record margin of victory. It isn't. The record is 42 points in 1998 when Chicago embarrassed Utah 96-54. Boston did lead by 43 for a brief moment late in the game, but couldn't quite hold it.

The 39 points is, however, the largest margin for the NBA Finals final game. Shown below are the biggest blowouts in the last game of the season. As you can see, Boston is no stranger to ending the season on the highest of high notes.

YearTeamsMargin
2008Boston over Los Angeles39
1965Boston over Los Angeles33
1949Minneapolis over Washington21
1960Boston over St. Louis19
1986Boston over Houston17
1952Minneapolis over New York17
1980Los Angeles over Philadelphia16
1968Boston over Los Angeles15
1974Boston over Milwaukee15
1950Minneapolis over Syracuse15


The second question is much more subtle. What are the emotions that allow for a blow-out of this nature? How does the home court factor in? What affect does coming off a loss have? I decided to go searching for nearly identical situations in previous NBA Finals.

The requirements are that a team jumps out to a 3-1 lead, loses game five on the road and comes home for game six. This is what happened with Boston in 2008 and what has happened to seven other teams in NBA history. As you can see, the home team has gone 8-0 and, with only one exception, none of the game sixes were close.

YearTeamsMargin
2008Boston over Los Angeles39
1986Boston over Houston17
1948Baltimore over Philadelphia15
1950Minnesota over Syracuse15
1987Los Angeles over Boston13
1996Chicago over Seattle12
1982Los Angeles over Philadelphia12
2000Los Angeles over Indiana5



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